• declanquillen

Monday Night Football Preview: Bills @ Titans

(FanDuel Sportsbook)

The last matchup of Week 6 features the 4-1 Bills traveling down to Nashville to take on the 3-2 Tennessee Titans. The Bills enter this matchup with +550 odds to win the Super Bowl, tied with Tampa Bay as the favorite. The Titans have been inconsistent so far this season. They come off a win against Jacksonville in Week 5 after losing to the lowly Jets in Week 4.

Let's start with the Bills. This team seems to be clicking on all cylinders at about the 1/3rd mark of the football season. They opened up with a loss to Pittsburgh in Week 1, but have followed that up with four straight wins including shutouts of Miami and Houston. Josh Allen has really hit his stride. Right now he clocks in at +450 odds to win the NFL MVP, tops in the league. The Bills are top ten in every major offensive output statistic as well as every defensive one through Week 6. To me, they look like the most complete team in the league and barring injuries, should have a great shot to go all the way this year. It should be bright skies ahead for Pinto Ron and and the rest of Bills Mafia!

The Titans have struggled at points this year, especially in pass protection. We all know that they have one of the best running games in the league with Derrick Henry, but that may not be enough to rely on all night against a stiff Buffalo front 7. They will have to air the ball. They are by far the worst statistical pass protect team in the league, allowing an average of 4.0 sacks per game. For reference, the Rams only allow 0.8. This could prove to be a major issue facing the Bills this Monday night and could be the deciding factor in the matchup.

My Pick: Bills -5.5

I've gotten burned recently laying points (see this week's Thursday Night Football), but the Bills match up really nicely against the Titans on paper. One way the Titans can keep it close is if Tannehill lights up the Bills secondary and can produce big plays down the field. I'm not sure he will have enough time in the pocket to get through his progressions and allow his receivers to get open. I think Tannehill is under pressure all night, and the Bills get home 4+ times in the game.

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